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Owners of Steven Jackson and Shaun
Alexander will have a chance to see these two disappointing fantasy RBs
square off against each other in Week 7. Perhaps viewers should pay
more attention to the offensive lines in the St. Louis/Seattle matchup
than to the runners themselves.
The Davis duo is quick to point out
how we called last week’s big showdown in Dallas. We posited that if
the Patriot’s were to outscore Dallas, they’d win. Our theory stood the
test! We also knew that if Tom Brady threw five touchdowns, while New
England’s defense held Tony Romo and company in check, it would be a
disappointing day for Dallas.
Of course, things could have turned
out differently. Fear not, we were prepared for that instance as well.
While we continue to reiterate the
importance of keeping your expectations low regarding the CQ+, we are
quite interested in seeing how other teams will stack up in this rating
system, especially compared to the first two very successful teams we
analyzed. We are also quick to point out that while Randy Moss has
certainly benefited Brady, the protection and time that the O Line has
given Brady is incredible.
As with the Cowboys and Patriots
last week, we’ll analyze two teams facing off this week, with special
focus on their CQ+. Quite different from last week’s breakdown of a
marquee match-up, this week we’ll look at two teams with RBs that were
drafted very early and who have both put up disappointing numbers on
teams whose playoffs hopes are already dimming: the Rams and the
Seahawks.
Beginning the ’07 season, here is
the CQ+ for the Rams: 38
|
Barron |
Brown |
Romberg |
Claude |
Pace |
|
19 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
12 |
|
27 |
27 |
3 |
10 |
139 |
Beginning the ’07 season, here is
the CQ+ for the Seahawks: 68
|
Jones |
Sims |
Spencer |
Gray |
Locklear |
|
19 |
3 |
13 |
19 |
14 |
|
153 |
3 |
13 |
154 |
26 |
Of course, a major event took place
when Orlando Pace suffered an injury in Week 1 of this season. While
the team certainly took a step back by losing the perennial All-Pro
Pace, their CQ+—which was terrible to begin with—didn’t really get that
much worse, and has since improved.
Through Week 6 of the ’07 season,
here is the CQ+ for the Rams: 41
|
Barron |
Brown |
Romberg |
Claude |
Goldberg |
|
20 |
5 |
9 |
3 |
4 |
|
33 |
33 |
9 |
13 |
22 |
Through Week 6 of the ’07 season,
here is the CQ+ for the ‘Hawks: 77
|
Jones |
Sims |
Spencer |
Gray |
Locklear |
|
20 |
9 |
15 |
19 |
14 |
|
159 |
9 |
19 |
160 |
32 |
We urge the reader to compare the
above CQ+s to those offered for the Cowboys and Patriots last week. The
differences are dramatic. One begins to understand how Steven Jackson
has performed so poorly, and why Shawn Alexander has looked so
frustrated on the sidelines.
This is a good juncture for us to
point out a critical flaw of the CQ+: when starting games represent
such a low number—as with the Rams—the term continuity is useless. For
example, the “three,” and “four” that Romberg and Claude, respectively,
contributed to the Rams’ CQ+ at the start of the season were games when
they didn’t even play together. There simply was no continuity in
starts at all…yet our representation may give that impression. Really,
the number of NFL starts these guys have shared is so small it’s
pathetic—from a continuity standpoint. No wonder Marc Bulger got hurt!
Through Week 6 of the NFL season,
here are some pertinent facts:
|
|
St. Louis |
Seattle |
|
Total Offensive
Rank |
29th |
18th |
|
Rush Rank |
25th |
22nd |
|
Pass Rank |
24th |
8th |
|
Sacks Allowed |
26th |
22nd |
|
Pass TD's |
22nd |
8th |
|
Rush TD's |
Last (0) |
24th (2) |
|
Rushing 20+ yard
plays |
t-26th |
t-9th |
|
Rushing 40+ yard
plays |
t-Last |
t-Last |
|
Passing 40+ yard
plays |
t-Last |
t-10th |
The only positives that come out of
the above numbers are Seattle’s relative success passing the ball. The
Rams have just been atrocious.
Here are some other notables about
these two teams’ O Lines.
The Rams have two starters (Barron
and Claude), both in their third years, who have only played for one
team. Brown in his 6th year has played for three teams,
while Romberg in his 6th year has played for two teams, and
Goldberg is in his 4th season and has played for two teams.
The ‘Hawks have four starters who
have only played in Seattle: Jones in his 11th year; Sims in
his 2nd year; Spencer in his 3rd year; and
Locklear in his 4th year. Gray is playing in his 15th
NFL season, and Seattle is his third stop on tour.
It might appear that after two
weeks, the CQ+ would have been a great tool to gain better insight into
the potentialities of drafting players like Brady and Romo, while
avoiding Rams players like the plague. We suspect that easy
differentiation will dissipate as we move on to teams that make up the
middle ranks of the NFL. |