2004 FFEx Expert Poll Results
For the third
consecutive season, Fantasy Football Experts hosted a preseason expert
poll. In all, 13 experts ranked 10 quarterbacks, 15 running backs, 15 wide
receivers, 10 tight ends, 10 kickers, and 10 team defenses from best to
worst for an overall-performance scoring system. To calculate an overall
score for each player, the experts’ selections were weighted. The weight
equaled the total number of players the expert was asked to rank at that
respective position, minus the player’s rank, plus one. For example, if an
expert ranked Peyton Manning as the No. 1 QB, the weight of that
selection would be 10 (10 players ranked at QB, minus 1 for Manning’s
ranking, plus 1). Each expert’s score was equal to each ranked player’s
fantasy points for the season multiplied by the weight that was assigned to
that player by the expert. For example, Manning racked up 417.7 fantasy
points last season, and any expert who ranked Manning No. 1 (weight = 10)
earned 4,177 points from the Colts QB.
The 2004 FFEx
Expert Poll champion was Carl Weatherford of CoachBox.com with a total of
83,025 points. FFEx’s Brad Haines, who finished with 81,990 points, was the
runner-up. Overall, the experts’ scores last season were significantly
lower than 2003, which was no doubt due to the high number of injuries in
2004 and a few shocking developments, such as Ricky Williams’ sudden
retirement. Our past champs, Greg Kellogg (2002) of Fantasy Asylum and Mike
Krueger of FF Today (2003) did not fare very well, finishing ninth and
twelfth, respectively. Of course, I did not earn any bragging rights with
my 11th-place finish.
Like Krueger
in 2003, Weatherford won last year’s contest largely due to the strength of
his picks at quarterback. He led the pack at that
spot, ranking both Trent Green and Brett Favre higher, and
Steve McNair lower, than most of the other experts. Though he did not
hit any homeruns with sleeper picks, Weatherford also fared very well at
running back, wide receiver, tight end, and kicker, finishing in the top
four at all of those spots. Some of his best picks were Green (No. 5 QB),
Shaun Alexander (No. 4 RB), and Joe Horn (No. 5 WR).
Marc Lawrence
of Playbook.com led the way at running back. He was the
only expert to rank both Rudi Johnson and Brian Westbrook
among the top 15 RBs, and he also avoided duds like Travis Henry,
Stephen Davis, and Michael Bennett.
Terry Cannon
of Youth Fantasy Football posted the most points at wide receiver. He did
not make any bold picks, but he had enough foresight to avoid ranking
players such as Steve Smith and Anquan Boldin very high and to
steer clear of busts like Koren Robinson and Peerless Price.
Last year’s
champ, Krueger, showed his guile by not only being one of the few experts to
rank Antonio Gates in the top 10 at tight end but also for putting
him as high as No. 3. Krueger easily ran away from the competition at the
TE spot by making this move.
Brian Schneider of Fantasy Online Sports
racked up the most points at kicker. He also did not make any bold picks,
but he smartly avoided disappointments such as Joe Nedney, Aaron
Elling, and Paul Edinger.
And finally, in a classic example of too
little, too late, I earned the most points for team defenses. I did this
mainly due to my high ranking of the Buffalo Bills. I was only one of three
experts to put them in the top 10 and had them high at No. 4. The Bills
went on to post the most points at the position, racking up 257 in our
overall-performance system.
Click here to see all of the
experts’ selections.
2004 EXPERT POLL
FINAL TALLY
|
RANK |
NAME AND SITE |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
K |
DEF |
TOTAL |
|
1 |
Carl Weatherford - Coach Box |
18388 |
24136 |
19127 |
5283 |
6563 |
9530 |
83025 |
|
2 |
Brad Haines - FF Experts |
18239 |
24448 |
18142 |
4825 |
6653 |
9684 |
81990 |
|
3 |
William
Del Pilar - KFFL |
17919 |
23948 |
18827 |
4883 |
6429 |
9707 |
81712 |
|
4 |
Marc Lawrence - Playbook |
17729 |
24496 |
19038 |
4778 |
6407 |
9031 |
81480 |
|
5 |
Skip Gibson - 100% Football |
17478 |
23818 |
19124 |
4814 |
6256 |
9750 |
81240 |
|
6 |
Tommy Stephens - FF Edge |
18307 |
23590 |
18503 |
4655 |
6665 |
9487 |
81206 |
|
7 |
T.C. Cannon - Youth FF |
17846 |
23520 |
19138 |
4586 |
6552 |
9528 |
81170 |
|
8 |
Brian Schneider - Fantasy Online Sports |
18319 |
24351 |
17349 |
5213 |
6704 |
9174 |
81110 |
|
9 |
Greg Kellogg - Fantasy Asylum |
17613 |
23841 |
18968 |
4466 |
6198 |
9796 |
80882 |
|
10 |
Matt Pitzer -
USA Today |
18154 |
23128 |
18829 |
4457 |
6231 |
9547 |
80346 |
|
11 |
Rich Harris - FF Experts |
17807 |
23393 |
17627 |
4734 |
6307 |
10251 |
80120 |
|
12 |
Mike Krueger - FF Today |
17358 |
23280 |
17476 |
5768 |
5796 |
9383 |
79062 |
|
13 |
Hadar Susskind - Gridiron Grumblings |
17577 |
23200 |
17492 |
4184 |
6480 |
9720 |
78654 |
PAST FFEx EXPERT
POLL CHAMPS
 | 2003 – Mike Krueger of FFToday.com |
|
 | 2002 – Greg Kellogg of Komments.com |
|
Representatives of
Fantasy Football Experts participated in three expert leagues in 2004,
competing against fellow writers/analysts from other respected fantasy
football sites.
For the fourth straight season, we (FFEx)
came away with at least one championship trophy, winning the
2004 FSIC Football League, a 10-person overall-performance league that
is hosted by Fantasy Sports R Us.
The FFEx team in the FSIC league was
managed by Brad Haines and myself. Our roster was quite formidable,
featuring the likes of QB Trent Green, RB Shaun Alexander, WR
Chad Johnson, TE Alge Curmpler, K Shayne Graham, and
the Buffalo defense/special teams. However, due to slow starts from some of
our running backs other than Alexander (Stephen Davis, Julius
Jones, and Kevan Barlow) and some unlucky breaks (we were second
in the league for points against), Brad and I had to scramble to make the
playoffs. We bolstered our backfield by adding the likes of Reuben
Droughns, Nick Goings, and Larry Johnson at different
points in time, and our squad went on a tear to
close the season, culminating with a 130-123 Super Bowl win over Fantasy
Football Edge (managed by Tommy Stephens). We also
took the overall scoring title with 2,550
points.
I solely managed the FFEx squads in the
other two expert leagues – 2004 Gridiron Grumblings Shootout and 2004 SI.com
Expert League.
I have always fared well in the
Gridiron Grumblings Shootout, an overall-performance league that
favors scoring and includes defensive players, winning the championship in
2002 and finishing fourth or higher for four straight years.
Last season was no different, as I
steadily climbed the standings (it’s a total points race) after a slow
start. The strength of my team began on defense, with S Ed Reed and
LB Keith Bulluck posting huge numbers all season. I also did very
well at tight end and kicker with Tony Gonzalez and Graham,
respectively. I received steady production from
the likes of QBs Tom Brady and Jake Delhomme, RB Ahman
Green, and WR Torry Holt. Unfortunately, the squad lacked a
quality No. 2 running back and a No. 2 receiver. I had to settle for a
third-place finish with 1,335 points, trailing both the winner, Mike Krueger
of FF Today (1,384), and the runner-up, Carl
Weatherford of Coach Box (1,369), by less than 50 points.
I failed to defend my 2003 title in the
Sports Illustrated Expert League, a 12-team, standard overall-performance
league. It was a nightmarish season for my SI squad. The team was beset by
injuries from the start, and it became a challenge just to find enough
healthy bodies to fill out the starting lineup.
The problems actually began in the
preseason, when RB Correll Buckhalter went down for the year and WR
Keenan McCardell never reported to Tampa Bay. That was a sign of the
things to come, as I had to either bench or cut a number of players,
including RBs Chris Brown and Quentin Griffin, TE Todd Heap,
and WRs Randy Moss, Deion Branch, and Peter Warrick.
Even so, I made a run at the playoffs, falling one win short of a division
title.
FFEx’s History in Expert Polls and Leagues
|
YEAR |
EXPERT LEAGUES AND POLLS |
|
2004 |
FSIC League (1st), FFEx Expert Poll (2nd
and 11th), Gridiron Grumblings Shootout (3rd), and
SI.com Expert League (9th) |
|
2003 |
SI.com Expert League (1st), Gridiron
Grumblings Shootout (4th), and FFEx Expert Poll (6th) |
|
2002 |
Gridiron Grumblings Shootout (1st),
Dirty Dozen League (1st), and FFEx Expert Poll (4th) |
|
2001 |
ESPN Expert League (1st), Maximus Expert
League (1st), and Gridiron Grumblings Shootout (3rd) |
|
2000 |
PredictaGame Regular Season Challenge (2nd),
PredictaGame Playoff Challenge (3rd), and Gridiron Grumblings
Shootout (3rd) |
|
1999 |
PredictaGame Playoff Challenge (1st),
ESPN Expert League (2nd), and Fantasy Football Index Expert
Poll (17th) |
|
1998 |
Fantasy Football Index Expert Poll (14th) |
|