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Preseason Features

Relative Value Rankings

By Richard Harris
August 26, 2006
 
Also see:  Draft Strategy
 

When it comes time to draft, arguments constantly rage about what positions are more important and what type of players are more valuable.  Well, we like to break things down scientifically here at FFExperts.com by using a ranking system that is based on relative value.   

It’s common knowledge that quarterbacks generally generate more fantasy points than any other position, but since you cannot start more than one QB, total points scored is not the true measure of fantasy value.  For example, in overall performance leagues, QB Steve McNair scored more points than RB Rudi Johnson in 2005, but we all know that Johnson was far more valuable.   

The true measure of a fantasy player is how much better he is than the rest of the players at his position.  Why?  Because you will always get a certain number of points at each position (as long as you fill out your starting lineup).  For example, your average starting kicker (in fantasy) scored 123 points last season.  The top-ranked kicker, Neil Rackers, scored 157 points, meaning that his relative value compared to an average kicker was 34 points (or 2.1 points per game).    

Here’s another example.  Peyton Manning (the third ranked QB) generated 294 fantasy points last season, which was 26 more than Edgerrin James (the fifth ranked RB).  However, when you consider the alternatives, James was more valuable.  If you compare Manning to the 10th rated QB (Mike Vick), he scored just 31 more points for the season.  If you compare James to the 10th rated running back (Mike Anderson), he scored 61 more points.   

Another way of looking at it is that you would be better off with Vick as your starting quarterback than you would be having Anderson as your No. 1 RB.  In the case of Anderson, eight RBs generated at least 26 more points for the season.  As for Vick, only three QBs exceeded his total by more than 25 points.  There wasn’t a big difference between Vick (263 points) and the No.4 QB, Eli Manning (282 points), but there was a huge difference between Anderson (201 points) and the No. 4 RB, Tiki Barber (307 points).    

The following rankings are based on the principal of relative value.  We have compared all players to the lowest ranked starter at their respective positions (based on a 12-team league).  For example, we compared all quarterbacks to the 12th ranked QB, Jake Delhomme, and we compared all running backs to DeShaun Foster, the 24th ranked RB.  By doing this, we get a good idea of how valuable a player truly was in 2005. 

Relative Value Rankings from 2005

Rank

Name

Tm

Pos

Points

R Value

1

Shaun Alexander

Sea

RB

363.8

220.7

2

Larry Johnson

KC

RB

335.3

192.2

3

LaDainian Tomlinson

SD

RB

317.6

174.5

4

Tiki Barber

NYG

RB

307.0

163.9

5

Edgerrin James

Ind

RB

268.3

125.2

6

Steve Smith

Car

WR

236.8

111.5

7

Clinton Portis

Was

RB

246.1

103.0

8

Antonio Gates

SD

TE

170.1

93.1

9

Rudi Johnson

Cin

RB

226.8

83.7

10

LaMont Jordan

Oak

RB

226.8

83.7

11

Larry Fitzgerald

Ari

WR

205.0

79.7

12

Santana Moss

Was

WR

202.0

76.7

13

Chad Johnson

Cin

WR

200.5

75.2

14

Chicago

Chi

DEF

241.0

72.0

15

Joey Galloway

TB

WR

189.1

63.8

16

Anquan Boldin

Ari

WR

188.7

63.4

17

Torry Holt

StL

WR

187.3

62.0

18

Chris Chambers

Mia

WR

187.0

61.7

19

Marvin Harrison

Ind

WR

186.6

61.3

20

Thomas Jones

Chi

RB

201.8

58.7

21

Carson Palmer

Cin

QB

318.9

58.7

22

Mike Anderson

Den

RB

200.6

57.5

23

Jeremy Shockey

NYG

TE

133.1

56.1

24

Carolina

Car

DEF

225.0

56.0

25

Steven Jackson

StL

RB

196.6

53.5

26

Todd Heap

Bal

TE

127.5

50.5

27

Tom Brady

NE

QB

310.4

50.2

28

Warrick Dunn

Atl

RB

187.6

44.5

29

Alge Crumpler

Atl

TE

119.7

42.7

30

Chris Cooley

Was

TE

119.4

42.4

31

Neil Rackers

Ari

K

157.0

41.0

32

Hines Ward

Pit

WR

164.5

39.2

33

Plaxico Burress

NYG

WR

163.4

38.1

34

Jay Feely

NYG

K

152.0

36.0

35

Terry Glenn

Dal

WR

161.2

35.9

36

Jason Witten

Dal

TE

111.7

34.7

37

Peyton Manning

Ind

QB

293.9

33.7

38

Jonathan Vilma

NYJ

LB

157.5

32.5

39

Willis McGahee

Buf

RB

172.5

29.4

40

Indianapolis

Ind

DEF

198.0

29.0

41

Reuben Droughns

Cle

RB

172.1

29.0

42

Willie Parker

Pit

RB

172.0

28.9

43

Donald Driver

GB

WR

153.4

28.1

44

Pittsburgh

Pit

DEF

197.0

28.0